Understanding the Crap System
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Crap players are absolutely in love with
the systems; they try and make combinations
and bets on games hoping that they’ll beat
the casino by coming across some arcane prescription.
Now and again the majority of the systems
succeed, and on the assumption that a participant
succeeds playing by using a system it also
encourages other players to keep attempting
to win. It goes without saying, that nevertheless,
the players are always in the end beaten
by the casino.
When systems are accepted by the readers,
the principle task is not so much that the
player has acquired an edge but instead understanding
the reason why the system is not awarding
an advantage. The following email message
was received from a player called Chuloco:
On the assumption that one player put
ten dollars on a pass, on a don’t pass
he put ten dollars, simultaneously on the
field he put ten dollars and kept on doing
this from the don’t come and come lines.
Is there a possibility that the player
on a six, seven or eight wins or loses?
The eight or six would give the player
with a strengthened come number when the
seven could break even – except for the
field wager.
Several weak elements are found in this
system. In the first place, pass and don’t
pass do not precisely offset on the next
rolls the don’t come and come. Once you have
set up a point each pass loser does not lose
and this also holds for the reverse situation.
On the don’t pass, the pass losers on a two
and three win, when on the pass win the come
out don’t pass losers on eleven and seven.
All is fine up to here, yet you still have
to take the twelve into account. On a don’t
pass the twelve doesn’t triumph, yet with
the come put it loses on a pass. This kind
of system evolves into a ten dollar loss
on a pass without an offset win on a don’t
pass due to the frequency of rolling twelve
once for come out rolls for every thirty
six times.
The more complex issue is connected to
the field of the one roll bet, which holds
a house edge larger than the don’ pass 1.4
percent or on a pass 1.41 percent, in which
the casino has an advantage of 5.56 percent
when twelve pays out two to one, and if the
twelve pays out three to one it is 2.78 percent.
Therefore, the field bet keeps on getting
when the highest wager goes on the wager’s
most weak aspect.
Let’s now analyze the results for this
system with each come out rolled number and
where there is a thirty dollar wager for
each try. For the moment, let’s assume that
there is only one field wager for each try:
- You win twenty dollars on a field having
a two to one payout; with don’t pass offset
by pass. In general, you can win twenty
dollars for a single roll of thirty six
with a two.
- You win ten dollars on field where don’t
pass is offset by pass. In general you
can win ten dollars with a three with two
rolls of thirty six, that is a total of
twenty dollars with a three.
- You win ten dollars on a field having
don’t pass offset by pass. In general,
you can have a ten dollars win for each
one with three rolls of thirty six, that
is, a total of thirty dollars with a four.
- You have a ten dollar loss on a field
with a pass offset by a don’t pass. In
general, you have a ten dollar loss for
each one with four rolls of thirty six,
that means, a total loss of forty dollars
with a five.
- You have a ten dollar loss on a field
with a don’t pass offset by a pass. In
general, you have a ten dollar loss for
each one of five rolls of thirty six, that
is, a total loss of fifty dollars with
a six.
- You have a ten dollar loss on a field
with a don’t pass offset by a pass. In
general, you have a ten dollar loss for
each one of five rolls of thirty six, that
is, a total loss of sixty dollars with
a seven.
- You have a ten dollar loss on a field
with a don’t pass offset by a pass. In
general, you have a ten dollar loss for
each one of five rolls of thirty six, that
is, a total loss of fifty dollars with
an eight.
- You have a ten dollar win on a field
with a don’t pass offset by a pass. In
general, you have a ten dollar win for
each one of four rolls of thirty six, that
is, a total win of forty dollars with a
nine.
- You have a ten dollar win on a field
with a don’t pass offset by a pass. In
general, you have a ten dollar win for
each one of three rolls of thirty six,
that is, a total win of thirty dollars
with a nine.
- You have a ten dollar win on a field
with a don’t pass offset by a pass. In
general, you have a ten dollar win for
each one of two rolls of thirty six, that
is, a total win of twenty dollars with
an eleven.
- You have a ten dollar win on a field
with a don’t pass offset by a pass. In
general, you have a ten dollar win for
each one of four rolls of thirty six, that
is, a total win of forty dollars with a
nine.
- You have a two to one twenty dollar
payout or a payoff of three to one: with
a ten dollar loss on the pass and you break
even on the don’t pass. In general, you
have a ten or twenty dollar win, that is,
with a twelve for one roll of thirty six.
One hundred and seventy dollars or one
hundred and eighty dollars are your winnings
on condition you get a total everything on
two, three, four, nine, ten, eleven and twelve.
But, if you total on the five, six, seven
and eight two hundred dollars will be your
total loss. This means that you lose in the
region of twenty or thirty dollars when placing
a thirty six wager on such a series average
dependent on a payoff of a twelve field bet.
2.78 percent casino edge is the result
when there is a field payout of a two to
one on a 1.85 percent or on twelve providing
there is a payoff of three to one. In any
case, the participant views the casino as
more advantageous than if the participant
keeps to a pas or don’t pass. As was anticipated,
the overall house edge ranges between the
lowest and highest.
If the player, in accordance with the suggestion
of Chuloco, sticks to placing field bets after
having made a point, the situation gets even
worse. About two thirds of the sequences, starting
with four, five, six, eight, nine or ten, the
participant puts down at least two field bets
and before the pass and don’t pass bets are
decided would put down a greater number of
bets. As continuously growing amounts of money
are invested in the worst combination of bets
ever increasing amounts of cash are lost in
the house’s side of the table. |