Video Poker Odds
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When you play Video
Poker, the cards dealt out to you could be
any one of about two and half million possibilities.
Moreover, the possibility of receiving a
royal flush after drawing additional cards
is about 1 in 40,000, while the possibility
of getting a straight flush is about one
in 9,000 hands. In other words, you have
approximately a 63 percent chance of getting
at least one royal flush and about a 27 percent
chance of getting two in the same 40,000
cards.
It would take you about 80 hours or two
weeks to two months, depending on how frequently
you play and how long your sessions last,
to play 40,000 cards. All video poker machines
have an identity displaying their type and
payout schedule. For example, in the slots
area of the casino you might see a Jacks
–or-Better 9/6 machine next to a Jacks-or-Better
8/5 machine. The difference between an 8/5
machine and a 9/6 machine is that a 9/6 machine
will return 99.5 percent with maximum coins
played and a perfect strategy. An 8/5 machine
will only return 97.3 percent under the same
conditions. This may not seem significant
but over an extended play period, that 2.2
percent difference will have an effect on
your overall win-rate. For a look at other
differences between different machine types,
see the chart below.
While all machines play the same way regardless
of the payout schedule, some machines will
pay more for the same hand than other machines.
To determine which machine is best to play,
take a look at the payout schedule shown
on the front of the machine. Always play
the video poker machine with the highest
payout schedule.
Odds between Different Machines
| Odds between different
machines |
Machine
type |
Payout |
10/7
(double bonus) |
100.2% |
9/7 |
100.7% |
9/6 |
99.5% |
8/5 |
97.3% |
7/5 |
96.3% |
6/5 |
95.2% |
Note: The figures listed
above are based on the maximum number of
coins (five) played and the percentages assume
that a royal flush is hit once during the
play period.
The type of machine you play at will also
determine how frequently a specific hand
appears. A Jacks or Better Machine will be
different from a Joker’s Wild machine which
in turn will be different from a Deuces Wild
machine.
A look at the 9/6 Jacks or Better chart
listed below provides a better understanding
of the payout and the frequency of receiving
specific hands.
Frequency of Hands
(9/6 Jacks or Better Machine)
| Frequency of hands (9/6
Jacks or Better machine) |
Hand |
Payout |
Frequency |
Royal Flush |
4,000 |
1 in
40,390 |
Straight Flush |
250 |
1 in
9,148 |
Four of a Kind |
125 |
1 in
423 |
Full House |
45 |
1 in
86 |
Flush |
30 |
1 in
90 |
Straight |
20 |
1 in
89 |
Three of a Kind |
15 |
1 in
13 |
Two pair |
10 |
1 in
7 |
Jacks or Better |
5 |
1 in
4 |
Note: The figures listed
above are based on the maximum number of
coins (five) played and the percentages assume
that a royal flush is hit once during the
play period.
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